Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.008448 0.009964 0.011790 0.014188 0.017311 0.021323 0.027012
2025-06-22 0.006194 0.007854 0.010077 0.013382 0.018380 0.026057 0.039685
2025-06-29 0.005216 0.006943 0.009431 0.013478 0.020355 0.032642 0.059617
2025-07-06 0.004659 0.006448 0.009182 0.013985 0.023049 0.041793 0.093588
2025-07-13 0.004340 0.006221 0.009255 0.014991 0.027017 0.056149 0.162922
2025-07-20 0.004002 0.005894 0.009082 0.015480 0.030160 0.071313 0.275195
2025-07-27 0.003668 0.005517 0.008741 0.015533 0.032351 0.086141 0.451978
2025-08-03 0.003398 0.005210 0.008466 0.015641 0.034756 0.104740 0.804451
2025-08-10 0.003105 0.004823 0.007978 0.015159 0.035348 0.117493 1.295316
2025-08-17 0.002813 0.004407 0.007377 0.014284 0.034438 0.122899 1.841104
2025-08-24 0.002577 0.004071 0.006892 0.013591 0.033863 0.129995 2.810195
2025-08-31 0.002465 0.003951 0.006827 0.013913 0.036841 0.163175 9.163825
2025-09-07 0.002299 0.003729 0.006552 0.013735 0.038379 0.194752 49.201808
2025-09-14 0.002100 0.003430 0.006085 0.012965 0.037398 0.206658 321.790983
2025-09-21 0.001991 0.003292 0.005945 0.013057 0.040029 0.263314 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001921 0.003223 0.005944 0.013543 0.044831 0.376319 NaN
2025-10-05 0.001885 0.003217 0.006085 0.014505 0.052991 0.639005 NaN
2025-10-12 0.001822 0.003148 0.006068 0.014972 0.059214 1.007243 NaN
2025-10-19 0.001741 0.003037 0.005935 0.015022 0.063159 1.461032 NaN
2025-10-26 0.001670 0.002940 0.005824 0.015125 0.067758 2.271269 NaN
2025-11-02 0.001579 0.002792 0.005571 0.014665 0.067962 2.855451 NaN
2025-11-09 0.001479 0.002618 0.005233 0.013829 0.064718 2.914915 NaN
2025-11-16 0.001393 0.002471 0.004954 0.013166 0.062519 3.135129 NaN